Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends

نویسندگان
چکیده

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Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends

Long historical averages of real earnings help forecast present values of future real dividends. With aggregate U.S. stock market data (1871-1986), a vector-autoregressive forecast of the present value of future dividends is, for each year, roughly a weighted average of moving-average arnings and current real price, with between two thirds and three fourths of the weight on the earnings measure...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: The Journal of Finance

سال: 1988

ISSN: 0022-1082

DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb04598.x